Today we are at the most critical crossroad of human history...we have
reached or crossed tipping points in most spheres...this juncture of human
history is characterised by the following mega trends:
- population has crossed 7 bn
which is far beyond what the resources of our dear planet can support...
- debt levels of the globe are
highly over leveraged at least three times total GDP of all countries at
about $ 300 trillion ... if we include derivatives the financial weapon of
mass destruction then the debt to GDP ratio could be in the numbing 10 to
20 range...
- urbanisation is reaching
unsustainable proportions thanks to proliferation of media and
transportation which is making it easy for rural population to migrate to
cities in search of modern lifestyles, jobs, education and better
prospects .... resulting in growth of urban concrete jungles with
attendant nightmarish problems of heat stress, garbage disposal, sewerage,
pollution, crime and violence, water scarcity. Urban areas which
constitute only 1% of global land mass emit 60% of carbon....
- rampant high energy / carbon
intensive lifestyles due to cars, ACs, surfeit of electrical, consumer
durable & electronic gadgets, air travel....
- societal transformation
marked by rise of divorces, single parents, permissiveness, drugs, guns,
tv and entertainment.....
- rise of tech, Internet and
AI which are now synonymous with life with the ubiquitous mobile becoming
our alter ego......our robotesque future close at hand.. and the hurtle
towards the age of singularity ….
- widening inequalities across
the world giving rise to dissatisfaction with political parties of past,
inner cities and slums, decline in effective demand a prerequisite for
keeping the wheels of capitalism moving, ….
- surge of migrants due to
inclement climate, religious persecution and terror, .....
- Wars and terror...to some
extent both are intertwined... terror has made inroads into Europe... and
the proliferation of nukes and especially the nuke programs of Iran and
North Korea are creating global tension mainly after Trump's
arrival.....but what is probably as scary is the possibility of terror
groups acquiring nukes or dirty bombs along with fallen states like
Pakistan with large nuke piles....
Though each of the above is game stopper by itself ...the combined cross
impact of these paints a very grim picture...but last but not least it is
climate change which is fast threatening to become the ultimate game
changer....climate change (clichange) is also integrally intertwined with most
of the above mega trends....except for the probability of a nuclear war,
clichange is 100% probability event which is insidiously spreading its
tentacles on all parts of the globe with increasing frequency, intensity and
amplitude...through unusual unseasonal extreme weather events, global warming
especially at the poles, urban heat stress, increasing precipitation and
resulting flooding, storms and tornados, rising sea levels, snow, pollution,
dust storms, warming oceans....
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